Tracking Insider Trading on Polymarket: A Lucrative New Business in Prediction Markets 2026 – Polysights Leads the Way

Prediction markets like Polymarket are exploding in popularity, and insider trading—once a taboo in traditional finance—is now viewed by some as a feature that accelerates market truth. Spotting and copying these suspicious high-confidence trades has evolved into its own profitable industry.

Here are key visuals of the Polymarket platform in action:

In October 2025, a fresh crypto wallet on Polymarket wagered $40,000 that OpenAI would launch an AI web browser before month’s end. The bet paid off quickly, netting $7,000 in profit—a suspiciously large, timely move.

Tools like Insider Finder (part of the Polysights analytics suite) flagged this as potential insider activity and shared it on X as a trading signal. Followers copied the trade and profited—highlighting how “insider” signals are monetized rather than punished in this space.

Polysights creator Tre Upshaw, a 29-year-old former memecoin trader from Canada, sees insider activity as beneficial:

Insider trading just accelerates the truth faster at the end of the day,

he told Bloomberg. His platform has grown to 24,000 users, secured a $25,000 grant from Polymarket, and is nearing a $2 million funding round. About 85% of flagged trades have been winners, and Upshaw personally bets on his strongest signals.

Polymarket, banned in the US in 2022 for unregistered operations, made a triumphant return under the Trump administration. Probes ended in 2025, Donald Trump Jr. joined as an adviser, and the platform relaunched for US users (though not fully operational yet). President Trump remains a vocal supporter, with Trump Media planning its own prediction market on Truth Social.

Other red-flag wins include a potential Google insider earning over $1 million on 2025 Year in Search rankings bets, and the explosive January 2026 case: A new account bet ~$30,000–$34,000 on Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro‘s downfall hours before his capture in a US operation, pocketing over $400,000–$436,000.

This incident ignited fresh scrutiny. New York Democratic Rep. Ritchie Torres introduced the Public Integrity in Financial Prediction Markets Act of 2026, banning federal officials, appointees, and staff from betting on policy/political outcomes using non-public info. The bill has 30 Democratic co-sponsors (as of mid-January 2026), though passage remains uncertain in the current political climate.

In the unregulated “wild west” of prediction markets, insider signals drive liquidity and accuracy for proponents, while critics warn of unfair advantages and corruption risks. As platforms like Polymarket boom—with billions in volume—tools like Polysights are turning the hunt for insider edges into big business.

Whether viewed as market efficiency or ethical loophole, tracking these trades is proving highly lucrative in 2026. Stay informed on the evolving regulation and opportunities in this fast-moving space!

Disclaimer: This article is provided for informational purposes only. It is not offered or intended to be used as legal, tax, investment, financial, or other advice.